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OTTAWA Canada economy grew by a higher than expected 0.2 per cent in May, the third increase in as many months, thanks to a rebound in manufacturing, Statistics Canada data showed on Wednesday.Analysts in a Reuters poll had predicted an increase of 0.1 per cent in May following a larger than expected increase of 0.3 per cent in April. Overall, 13 of the 20 industrial sectors monitored expanded in May, the national statistical agency said.”The better than expected 0.2 per cent gain in real GDP for the month leaves the economy tracking something closer to 3 per cent growth than the Bank of Canada’s 2.3 per cent forecast, cementing its stand pat position on interest rates on the same day that the Fed is likely to announce an interest rate cut,” said CIBC chief economist Avery Shenfeld in a note. Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to between 2% and 2.5%.Fed looks locked in for quarter point cut, but there may be dramaWith the Bank of Canada on hold, watch our $2.19 trillion household debt load growStephen Poloz’s dashboard: The latest charts that matter most to the Bank of CanadaThe Bank of Canada has held interest rates steady since October 2018 as it monitors Canadian economic data.
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The Fed policy rate range probability has been volatile in the wake of news flow from the Federal Reserve, macro data and changing dynamicsof the trade dispute. As of now, there is 48 percent probability for two more rate cuts in 2019. Street is almost certain for a rate cut in the next policy meet on September 18.
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